Racing Post Preview
Racing Post Preview
PK – Paul Kealy
GL – Gavin Lynch
PM – Patrick Mullins
RF – Richard Forristal
TM – Thom Malone
NM – Nicola McGeady
PM – Very excited about Getabird. Was very impressive lto, jumped brilliant, and professionally.
PK – Not sure what is wrong with Kalashnikov. Found loads, and can’t see him out of the frame.
RF – Taking Getabird on. Question about going l/h. Last 6 winners run at least 4 times. Thinks ND should be in this. Huge engine.
GL – On Getabird, and will be on again on the day if he goes 9/4 5/2. People presume he’s slow, has gears. Summerville Boy best e/w.
PM – Footpad our nap of the festival. Just under top class as a hurdler, and not sure PM jumps well enough. SC a worry, but Footpad has form in the book.
PK – Can’t knock Footpad on anything done over fences, but thinks PM will be a better horse than he was LTO. Thinks SC wants soft ground, even though trainer says not a worry.
NM – Footpad started to drift in the week, evens to 15/8, and others started to shorten, but then everyone said nothign wrong, nothing changed. People looking at ground she thinks. Likes SC.
GL – Against BP, jumps to right, poor at chelts x2. Can’t have SC unless soft. Thinks FP held up, behind. Worried about PM jumping. With Footpad, always an advantage to have Ruby.
RF – With Footpad, and thinks PM’s run was outstanding last time. Not sure he’ll turn it around. Hard to oppose Footpad. Can’t remember seeing a hurdler improve to much for going over a fence. If it wasn’t for the drift wouldn’t even think about getting it beat.
PM – Wasn’t quick enough for CH over 2, but the way he jumps fences makes up ground, and makes him quick enough for 2m chase.
PM – Faugheen been fine all year, which is why we are scratching our heads. We know he still has ability, after Morgiana. Changed a few things at home, and hoping that will spark him up a bit, as well as Cheltenham. Yorkhill schooled very well over hurdles at Curragh, so have option of here, or Ryanair.
RF – Where would you run him?
GL – CH
RF – Ryanair
NM – Ryanair
PK – On his runs this year doesn’t matter
We know ability is there, but thinks that Yorkhill is in better form than all year. Wicklow Brave, better ground, better he’ll run. Melon never went a yard with the hood, thinks he is great value at 10/1, and taking hood off at Cheltenham.
PK – I always want to oppose short prices, even if only small bets. Only chink for BD is that he might have forgotten how to race. Shaken up to beat JC, because almost looked like forgotten what to do. Won a good CH, but has backed Wicklow Brave, in normal and w/o markets. Thinks he is very talented, and asks PM if he’s riding. PM laughs and says he would love to ride WB.
RF – Thinks 3m was a test first time out for Yorkhill, thinks he’ll pick up pieces in whatever race he runs in. BD beat a proper yardstick in MTOY, and wouldn’t worry about last day. Can’t see Faugheen winning now.
GL – Yorkhill, Faugheen,, and BD only horses who have ability to win race, and two of them you can’t have. BD may have forgotten how to race, but can’t look past BD.
Can AJ be beaten?
PK – Backed La Bague for this and Stayers. Thinks she’ll prob end up here because Stayers looking tough, and one to beat here.
PM – BDD prob go here, very exciting over fences, but schooled well over hurdles. LTO ran very keen, and did well to win. AJ fantastic. VVM in great form, but going without a prep. Won’t give her as much rope this time, and hope that helps.
NM – Anything but Apples Jade please
RF – Non event AJ wins. Beat Supasundae, and SS fave for Stayers. 4/6 is almost value. Verdana Blue value at 20/1 a place if she runs.
GL – AJ great, but thinks BDD might chase her home, if you can get 5/2 3/1 w/o value.
PK – Samcro prob is good thing, but I don’t back short priced faves. Take him on with Black Op. Thinks he ran a nice race against Santini.
PM – Next Destination most likely to go here, but entered everywhere. ND form not as good as Samcro, but know he handles Cheltenham, and jumps very well.
NM – This is the one we’d probably want to lay, of the hype horses.
RF – Fantastic horse, but I’m a ND fan, and hope he doesn’t run in the AB. Look at what he beat the last day, beat CS, Jetz, BBB, DDG. Thinks ND take some stopping here or Supreme.
PK – 4 of last 7 faves been beaten in this race.
GL – Hard to see Samcro beaten. Against OTBS, hill is a worry, NH even said. ND and Samcro 1-2. Would like Samcro in Supreme.
TM – Anything at a big price?
PK – Black Op thinks happier on better ground. NH talks about Santini as a GC horse.
PM – Not sure where DDG goes, but thinks 14/1 good price and entitled to improve.
NM – PP my bet of the week
RF – Take on PP not ideal prep, beaten at top level. For a horse to win a G1 after fall Monalee had was some going. Bad fall, and a kicking, won well last day, one for him.
GL – Thinks Davy is a better judge than he is.
PK – Likes PP, didn’t like the prep. 1/2 thinks Monalee is ending up in the JLT, race falling apart. Not sure what’s wrong with Black Corton, won Reynoldstown easily, and if he started his career in November, would be shorter. Could be a fluke, but jumps well, and always finds.
PM – Al Boum Photo & IO, will be split. One going JLT. Gave Monalee an easy lead, and that’s why race finished like it did. Thinks set up for Monalee, and thinks he’s more of a JLT horse. Over 3m, thinks it might be like AB last year. Not sure PP race was hard, hacked around, and PP could have won. DR gave him sympathetic ride. Al Boum Photo more room for improvement, than IO.
TM – Altior?
PK – Yeah, most likely. Got to prove it, after first run out from break. Should be good enough, and wouldn’t surprise him if Min got closer. Way they talk about Altior, he could be another Sprinter.
PM – Min better chaser, but not sure he’d turn it around with Altior, as he doesn’t look any worse over fences. Min had better prep, but Altior looked good. Douvan is the one. Stepping him up day by day, and if he pleases them in a couple important bits of work this week will go. Thinks he’s better than Altior. Holly is delighted with him, going without a run. Unenviable task, but if any horse can, Douvan could.
NM – Not much support for Douvan, and Altior return was a dream. Competitive race. Politologue solid e/w. If Min or Douvan show up, it’s a race.
RF – Can’t see Douvan coming back FTO. Quevega did it in the mares, but this isn’t the mares.
PM – We managed it with Arctic Fire
RF – That’s’ not Altior, if you do this, greatest training performance ever. Altior impossible to oppose, not concerned about bounce. Min improving horse, but it’s Altior.
GL – Altior should be 180 after Cheltenham, thinks he’s underrated. Interesting to see who Ruby rides. Ricci said if Ruby doesn’t ride Douvan, why we running him? Shocked if Altior beat.
TM – Un De Sceaux great.
PM – Loves the game. 2x Sprinter beat him he got back up for 2nd. Iron Horse. Ran away with Ruby in middle of race, and some of those leaps. Was extraordinary last year. Not a big horse, but attacks fences. More cut the better. Never been forgiven for being beaten by Sprinter, but won an Arkle & Ryanair.
PK – Loves Cue Card, wil have to back him, but can’t see him winning. Sometimes you get on the wrong side of a horse, and stay there. That’s me with UDS. Only thing is, the horses in behind last year are 1/22 since. Will take him on with BDF, with hope, more than anything. Top Notch could come back, but not sure if he’s ‘Top Notch’
GL – Agrees with PM that UDS doesn’t get the respect he deserves. Fantastic horse. Pity we won’t see Waiting Patiently, and thinks BDF be better with good ground.
RF – UDS underappreciated. Great battle to get back for 2nd against Sprinter. Can’t see him beaten, and thinks price is value. Would love to see WP here, for the spectacle.
PM – 8/1 NRNB big price for Yorkhill, and the rail on his inside helps like Ruby says. Easier to ride at Cheltenham.
Mares Novice Hurdle
TM – Laurina
PM – She’s like Let’s Dance, but taller. In fantastic form, we think the world of her. If ground a little softer it will suit. Maria’s Benefit has experience. What Laurina did at Fairyhouse looked exceptional.
PK – Handicapper rated Maria’s Benefit 152, not sure the prices should be so wide apart. Prices are wrong with that big a diff. But MB had a setback.
GL – MB only missed a weeks work, should be ok.
RF – Laurina’s form strong. If she’s as good as they saying, she won’t be beaten.
TM – Supasundae favourite here, are you with him?
PK – Didn’t finish strongest lto, so you wonder. Backed La Bague a few weeks ago, but don’t think running here now. Rumours about Bloom trying to get a box for the Thursday. If Penhill returns to that form.
PM – Penhill back in full training, and as fit as they can have him. Holly said he is her nap of the festival. Won so well last year, and Monalee 2nd. Know he handles track/trip, lots experience. Schooled well the other day. Not ideal, but have to play the cards how they’re dealt. Wide open race. Bacardys overpriced, schooled him and he’s slick over hurdles, even after going chasing. Race he won in Punchestown very good.
RF – Supasundae worthy favourite, and thinks Yanworth prob be favourite if he hadn’t gone chasing. Thinks Supasundae is lairy, and running in ICH was right. Sam Spinner is vulnerable. Robbie can ride a race on SS, but needs to stay, thinks he will.
Talking about Apples beating SS, and PM thinks that AJ beat SS easier than it looked.
GL – Laying Sam Spinner, Supa Sundae 0/2 at the trip. Yanworth or Penhill for him. Penhill pushed wide in AB and still won.
PK – Coming round to Penhill. Thinks UKWIMH could be a silly price, but he’s another 10 year old, and hasn’t been as good this year.
PM – This race has changed, French breds have changed it. Lots of proper NH bred horses. Mr Adjudicator has best form. Good race, and told time was good, w/e that means. Farclas was 2nd to Espoir when he was on form. Jumped a bit sticky early, but better with hood off. Stormy Ireland is pandoras box, hopes timeform right. Very small, and doesn’t do as much at home. Fabulous jumper, and the plan wasn’t that in Fairyhouse, but let her roll on. Wasn’t 100% for Leopardstown, train her better at home. Great form now. Saldier is a chasing horse for future, and very good flat form. Can’t wait to see him over a fence.
NM – Apples Shakira unbeaten in 4, and NH singing her praises. Impressed with Redicean.
PK – AS been favourite, but not sure it will like it if ground turns up fast. Worried about Redicean, after first 2. Laid him everything last time, and watched him run like that. Farclas getting buried will help him, he thinks. Battled when they went last few furlongs. Both good, but fancies Farclas on better ground.
RF – Take on AS, looks like wants soft, but agrees with PK. Won’t know which is best form. Redicean looked most impressive, and last time at Kempton looked vg. No bet, but Redicean the one.
GL – Very hard race, lots unbeaten. Redicean looked like diff horse lto. AS, on ground doesn’t want better, NH thinks she does. Stormy prob make running, very fast race. AS if she’s close enough will def finish up hill.
Talk about Stormy winning time being so good. RF says take it with pinch of salt, and GL agrees, but says it was very good.
PM – Fabulous Saga obvious one, and race has strong profile for horses with experience, which he has. Forgive last run, too bad to be true. DDG fascinating horse, but same owner as FS. Next Destination was quite keen the last day, and you need to settle. Ballyward is there, would race behind the bridle, not enough experience maybe. Real Steel another one, who thinks better going over a trip. PT said same thing after he won over 2m.
PK – Santini only 3 runs, need exp. Doesn’t ruin horses, but inexp get found out. 62 non finishers. For that reason Calett Mad, who he can’t believe is 25/1 still. Going well in NH Chase before his 5th birthday. Bolted up in Pertemps trial. Nick Luck said NTD told him Calett Mad one horse that is thriving.
RF – Chef Des Obeaux he likes, and the last time a winner of this hadn’t run over 3m was Bobs Worth. CDO ticks box, out and out stayer.
GL – CDO interesting if it comes up soft. Another Haydock merchant. If ground is good fancy Santini. DDG can’t see him staying if you watch end of race with ND. Soft ground CDO or Chriss Dream.
RF – In Might Bite camp, and Sizing John. Thinks it’s between those 2. Great run destroying Djakadam, and out too quick lto. Might Bite is the up and coming horse. To do what he did in RSA, and still get up the hill after what he did. NDB knows what’s coming, and if it wasn’t for that quirk he’d be shorter. NR shouldn’t be good enough. Our Duke improving but still a way. KV fallen or nearly fallen twice.
PM – SJ overpriced. KV had the injury, but has an engine, and it’s an ask with his jumping. Inexperienced, and a race like this. Total Recall, thinks his form with Whisper puts him a way behind, but he’s improving. Djakadam is overpriced, he thinks. Race always throws up horses that place year after year. Disappointed in Leopardstown, maybe ride him diff.
PK – Wide open. MB might be most talented, but wandered around 3/4 times at Cheltenham. SJ prob the best if he comes back. Likes young improving profile, and Road To Respect has that. Bachasson at a massive price, could be very talented. Skipped round AB, but didn’t get home as a 5yo. Big ask, but big price.
PM – Bachasson improved a lot, but has heart and scope to jump. He’s a young protential improver.
GL – Small e/w on Bachasson @ 50/1. Might Bite is actually 9, and should be 7/7 without Kempton. New Course is 50yards further in, so won’t know about gate. NDB went too soon in KG, kicking before the bend. Idles a lot. Sizing John massive chance. Can’t believe Native River is 5/1, will place lay him. Needs soft ground.
Preview credit – TimRiggins at Fatjockey