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Champion Bumper Tips

Only Fleminsfirth has sired two Champion Bumper winners. Both were mares.

No horse this century has won having been beaten favourite last time out

No 4 yr old winner since Cue Card in 2010.

Six of the last seven unbeaten since July.

12 of last 13 hadn’t ever finished outside of the first two.

The last four winners all raced within 40 days of this.

W Mullins has trained nine of the last 22 winners. Four when only one runner and five when he had more than one. Yet to win it with a four yr old

Of the 27 Mullins runners sent off shorter than 11/1, one winner.

Gordon Elliott has won two of the last three.

English trained have only won two of the last eight.

Liberman 2003 last winner not to have won previous race.

Irish trained mares have won two of last three.

Summary

Race Distance – 2 miles and half a furlong.

Winner will be 5 or 6 yrs old or a 4 yr which won its only run.

Watch for French bred 4 yr olds.

Will have won last time out.

Has won a £4k bumper.

Ran inside the last 40 days.

Unbeaten since July.

Will have been successful in fields of 13 or more, or trained by W Mullins.

English trained not performing to their numbers.

Any price.

Will not have finished worse than 2nd unless had three runs and won its last two.

Irish trained.

The market is no guide to W Mullins’s best chance.

Sire of the winner could be hard to name.

Check bumper, Newbury Betfair Hurdle day.

Not blinkered/cheekpieces.

Not beaten favourite last time.

Could be ridden by anyone.

Amateurs strong recent record but not conditionals.

Gigginstown unlikely to risk their best young prospects.

Mares a very fair record.

Take an BOG early price or back on exchanges.

Overround tends to be in bookies favour.

Contenders:

Appreciate It – 6yo

Darling Daughter – 6yo

Ocean Wind – 4yo

– 4yo
+ Won Betfair hurdle day bumper

All of the above won lto
Have not finished worse than 2nd unless had three runs and won its last two.
Have won a bumper worth at least £4k
Ran within last 40 days (Gaultstats)
Off track for at least 32 days (9/10, Racing Post stats)

Stats suggest:
Any of the 4, less so Ocean Wind (depending how highly rated winning the betfair hurdle day bumper rates, compared to being a 4yo & not trained by Mullins).

My selection:

Mullins had to settle for 2nd last year behind Envoi Allen, so he’ll be keen to win this again this year. His French bred 6yo Appreciate it rates highly (OR 131, RP 147) and won very impressively in Grade 2 company last time out. He has to be the selection here. Darling Daughter looks very good e/w value at around 20/1 having won a Grade 2 at Leopardstown by 3 lengths. Ocean Wind also comes into it for e/w placings given his latest victory, although that was on good ground wheras he will face at least soft here.

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