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Coral Cup Tips

This is a handicap to be respected by all shrewd value hunters. Despite its ultra-competitive make-up, plenty of major gambles have been landed over the years…

Only 3 winners ever were previous course winners. All 3 trained by N Henderson

3 of the last four won by three different Irish trainers

Six of the last seven rated at least 143

5 of the last six Irish trained winners had there last run in a conditions race

Only clear fav to win was Xenophon 2003

Only 3 winners this century had more than 9 previous hurdle runs

No winner older than 8 since 2007

No horse has won two of these.

Only 5 winners this century had run at a previous Festival.

8 of the last 10 winners carried at least 11st

None of the last 11 more than 4 runs that season

Summary

Race Distance – 2 miles and abt 5f.
5 yr olds can punch above their numbers.
Will be aged 5 to 7 unless a Henderson trained previous course winner.
Nothing placed above a 10 yr old unless previous Festival winner.
Winner rated at least 139.
Irish trained beginning to take over.
Carrying at least 11st.
Will have won somewhere a race between 2m 1f and 2m 6f.
If not successful over a minimum of 2m 4f will be aged 7 or under and have been placed in graded company or won a £20k hurdle in France.
Will have won at least Class 3 but not English Graded hurdle.
Has not won more than one handicap.
Hasn’t ran more than 4 times this season.
Unless Irish Trained, unlikely to have run at previous Festival.
If Irish check Dublin Racing Festival form.
Will not be more than seven pounds out of the handicap (including jockeys allowances).
Either no more than 10 runs over hurdles or returned 12/1 and under.
Clear favourite is well overdue.
Respect JP McManus owned, French bred.
Shouldn’t be a course winner or beaten favourite last time unless trained by N Henderson
Has won sometime this season or was placed in last years festival.
No headgear wearer unless first time or Henderson.
Davy Russell knows how to win this.
A conditional has yet to.

Maximum number of runners has been dropped to 26 from 28. Doesn’t really help.

Contenders:

Horse – age – weight – trainer

Protektorat – 5yo – 11st2 – Skelton

– Non Irish trainer, previous festival runner
+ 5yo
+ Successful at 2m4f+
+ No handicaps won
+ 4 runs this season

Franco De Port – 5yo- 11st6 – Mullins
+ 5yo
+ Successful at 2m4f+
+ No handicaps won
+ 4 runs this season

Eglantine Du Seuil – 6yo – 11-7 – Mullins
+ 6yo
+ Successful at 2m4f+
+ No handicaps won
+ 4 runs this season

Coko Beach – 5yo – 11st3 – Elliott
+ 5yo
+ Successful at 2m4f+
+ No handicaps won
+ 4 runs this season

Mister Blue Sky – 6yo – 11st2 – Mullins
+ 6yo
+ Successful at 2m4f+
+ No handicaps won
+ 4 runs this season

Stats suggest:
Any of the above, preferably Irish trained
Also Top Moon (French bred, Irish trained, JP Owned)

My Selection:
Protektorat, 0.5pts e/w 9/1 (6 places several books)
Skelton knows exactly how to place one for a handicap plot and off 11st2 he could be Skelton’s ‘one’ for the festival. Against the grain of stats I like the fact he has won around here, it’s always good to have a horse that has proven course form.

Dame De Compagnie, 0.5pts e/w 8/1 (6 places)
Fred bred and JP owned, so ticks 2 of those 3 boxes (Top Moon fitting all 3), could easily be a cut above the majority of these having had the form of her win around here franked at Listed level. Was 4 lengths in front of Indefatigable, who came out and won a Listed contest at Warwick by 6 lengths, so on the face of the form could be well handicapped / graded horse in a handicap.

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