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RSA Chase Tips

It’s been a graveyard for favourite backers for the last four years but the RSA Chase is always provides pulsating action – see last year’s renewal for an example…

RSA Chase

HEADLINES
The last 12 winners had all between 6 and 13 runs in total over fences and hurdles
10 of the last 11 were aged 7 yrs
15 of the last 16 already placed in at least G2 chase. (Might Bite should have been)
No winner since 2002 made their chase debut over 3 miles
10 from the last 12 had won over at least a Listed or £20k hurdle
Eight from the last nine rated at least 139 over hurdles
Only Might Bite since 2002 fell on any of their last three starts
11 of the last 13 had run at a previous Festival
All 21 Feltham winners to come here have been beaten
No horse with more than 10 previous chase runs won since ’93
G Elliott yet to win this.

Summary
Race Distance – 3 miles and abt half a furlong.
Winner will be 7 years of age or from the front two in the market.
Has not won the Feltham but could have been beaten in it.
Will have been 1st or 2nd last time.
Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
Last time out either won a graded chase over at least 2m 5f or was at least a ‘staying on’ placed over 3m.
However first chase run was short of 3 miles.
Will have run between three and five times over fences or be unbeaten and trained by W Mullins.
Unlikely to be unbeaten over fences unless trained by W Mullins.
Will not have finished unplaced in any completed chase start apart from their first one.
Could be any price but fav not really due.
Won’t be blinkered.
W Mullins horse and other Irish trained to place at least.
Not Northern trained.
Winner not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
Probably a Novice hurdler last season.
Has a hurdle rating of at least 139.
Listed or £20k winner over hurdles.
Ran at a previous Festival or is course winner.
Between 6 and 13 runs in total over hurdles and chases.
NH sire and bred in Ireland.
Check Albert Bartlett placings in 2019.

Contenders:

Champ, 8yo
– Not 1st or 2nd lto
– English trained
– Age
+ NH Sire + Irish bred
+ Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Listed or £20k winner over hurdles

Minella Indo, 7yo
– Not placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
– English bred
+ Age
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ Listed or £20k winner over hurdles

Copperhead, 6yo
– Flat sire
– Rated 124 over hurdles
– Age
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.

Allaho, 6yo
– Not placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
– French bred
– Age
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.

Easy Game, 6yo
– Age
– French Bred
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.

Battleoverdoyen, 7yo
+ Age
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
+ Irish bred
+ Listed or £20k winner over hurdles

Slate House, 8yo
– Age
– GB bred
– finished unplaced in any completed chase start apart from their first one.
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.
+ Has been placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
+ Listed or £20k winner over hurdles

Pym, 7yo
– GB Bred
– Not placed in a G1 or G2 chase.
+ Age
+ Has a hurdle rating of at least 139
+ not run for at least 24 days but has been out since Christmas Day.

Stats suggest:
Battleoverdoyen

My selection:
Batleoverdoyen, 0.5pts e/w 12/1
Slight concern he was pulled up in the Ballymore last year, but has made into a useful chaser, and fits a lot of the stats from both the above and the racing post stats, at 12/1 he looks a good stab with Davy Russell on board who has 3 wins in the past 9 runnings.

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